The No. 10 Iowa State Cyclones (18-5, 8-4 Big 12) visit the UCF Knights (13-10, 4-8) Tuesday. Tip-off from Addition Financial Arena in Orlando is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Iowa State vs. UCF odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Iowa State destroyed TCU 82-52 Saturday while covering as a 16.5-point favorite with the Under (135) cashing. The Cyclones did not allow any TCU player to score in double figures and held the Horned Frogs to just 2-of-14 (14.3%) shooting from deep. The win ended a 3-game skid for the Cyclones.
UCF was handed an embarrassing 91-76 loss by the Baylor Bears Saturday while failing to cover as an 11-point underdog. The Knights were outscored in both halves by Baylor as they allowed Baylor to shoot 53.3% from the field Saturday. The Knights have lost 4 straight.
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Iowa State at UCF odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Iowa State -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | UCF +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
- Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State -8.5 (-105) | UCF +8.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Iowa State at UCF picks and predictions
Prediction
Iowa State 85, UCF 76
Moneyline
PASS.
Iowa State is the much better team and will win to cover here as -375 favorites, but a favorite set this heavily is never worth the risk of betting on. Pass here and bet on the spread and/or O/U instead.
Against the spread
BET IOWA STATE -8.5 (-105).
The Cyclones have covered the spread in both of their last 2 matchups against UCF. Iowa State is also 6-4 ATS in its last 10 while UCF has dropped 3 straight ATS.
The Cyclones have been the better team ATS this season, being 13-10 on the year while UCF is 11-12 ATS.
Iowa State will be able to dismantle this UCF defense that allows a Big 12 worst 79.9 points per game, leading to the Cyclones covering here.
Over/Under
OVER 159.5 (-110).
The Over has hit in back-to-back games for UCF and is 14-7-2 for the Knights this season. The Over also hit in the last matchup between these squads.
Both of these squads have good offenses that average at least 79.5 points. Combine that with UCF’s terrible defense and you have the perfect recipe for the Over to hit.
Be aware the Under is 7-3 in Iowa State’s last 10 games.
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