UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big West Tournament


The No. 3 seed UC Riverside Highlanders (21-11, 14-6 Big West) and the No. 7 seed Cal Poly Mustangs (15-18, 8-12 Big West) meet in the Big West tournament Thursday at Lee’s Family Forum, tipping off at 11:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
  • Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Henderson, Nevada
  • Arena: Lee’s Family Forum

See the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Thursday’s UC Riverside-Cal Poly spread (UC Riverside -4.5) or over/under (162.5 points).

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UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • UC Riverside has covered 19 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
  • Cal Poly has covered 15 times in 30 matchups with a spread this year.
  • As a 4.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, UC Riverside is 4-5 against the spread compared to the 7-9 ATS record Cal Poly puts up as a 4.5-point underdog.
  • Against the spread, the Highlanders have performed better at home, covering nine times in 12 home games, and 10 times in 17 road games.
  • The Mustangs’ winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (6-6-0). On the road, it is .471 (8-9-0).
  • UC Riverside is 12-7-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
  • Cal Poly is 10-10-0 against the spread in Big West games this season.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • UC Riverside has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 13 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (84.6%) in those games.
  • The Highlanders have not lost in seven games this year when favored by -210 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cal Poly is 5-15 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games).
  • The Mustangs have a record of 3-12 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +172 or longer (20%).
  • UC Riverside has an implied victory probability of 67.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Head-to-Head Comparison

  • UC Riverside has a +44 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.4 points per game. It is putting up 74.9 points per game to rank 143rd in college basketball and is giving up 73.5 per contest to rank 227th in college basketball.
  • Barrington Hargress’ team-leading 20.6 points per game ranks eighth in the nation.
  • Cal Poly scores 81.8 points per game (23rd in college basketball) and concedes 82.5 (359th in college basketball) for a -23 scoring differential overall.
  • Owen Koonce paces Cal Poly, averaging 17.2 points per game (100th in college basketball).
  • The Highlanders win the rebound battle by 3.4 boards on average. They collect 33.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 73rd in college basketball, while their opponents grab 30.4 per outing.
  • Joel Armotrading’s 6.5 rebounds per game lead the Highlanders and rank 234th in college basketball action.
  • The Mustangs average 31.1 rebounds per game (231st in college basketball) while allowing 34.5 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 3.4 boards per game.
  • Koonce tops the team with 4.9 rebounds per game (652nd in college basketball).
  • UC Riverside ranks 177th in college basketball by averaging 95.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 193rd in college basketball, allowing 94.0 points per 100 possessions.
  • The Mustangs average 95.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (175th in college basketball), and allow 96.7 points per 100 possessions (275th in college basketball).

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